UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22 Feb 2015
Middleweight
VS
42%
Ferreira
58%
Alvey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:34
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
6'1"78" reachSouthpaw41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
SA
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33 – 18
Well-Rounded8-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alvey

This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 42% vs Alvey at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alvey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ferreira
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ferreira
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
22.9
49.5
Performance Avg
44.3
43
Quality of Victory
45
58
Momentum Score
43
Ferreira
Alvey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
4
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Ferreira
Alvey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferreira
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Ferreira
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Ferreira
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferreira
Alvey
Striking1.2 / 5.9Volume6.5 / 4.1Grappling4.3 / 1.8Wrestling3.0 / 1.2Submission3.3 / 1.0Pressure4.1 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Ferreira
Strike Zones
Alvey
Ferreira
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY3LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Alvey
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY3LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (46% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferreira
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Alvey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W1.8L5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.4W4.5W2.8L3.0L5.5L5.9L3.3L5.5L4.1L2.5L2014-082016-072017-102020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

News & Media

Cezar Ferreira · Sam Alvey
← Back to fights