METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22 Feb 2015
Middleweight
VS
42%
Ferreira
58%
Alvey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:34
★ Official Result
Sam AlveywinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:34
def. Cezar Ferreira · UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvey
→
Actual result
Alvey wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 42% vs Alvey at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FerreiraAlvey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ferreira
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ferreira
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
22.9
49.5
Performance Avg
44.3
43
Quality of Victory
45
58
Momentum Score
43
Ferreira
Alvey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
5.5
6.5
Style: Volume
4.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
4
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Ferreira
Alvey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferreira
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Ferreira
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Ferreira
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ferreira
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
FerreiraAlvey
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (46% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ferreira
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ferreira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonSubmission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10