UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
Las Vegas, USA
24 Aug 2024
Middleweight
VS
46%
Cannonier
54%
Borralho
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
5'11"77" reachSwitch42 yrsStriker
CFR 54
Caio
Caio Borralho
"The Natural"
18 – 2
Well-Rounded33 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Borralho

This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 46% vs Borralho at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cannonier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Cannonier throws more volume but Borralho connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cannonier
Borralho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Cannonier
Borralho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
62.8
49.3
Performance Avg
54.6
46
Quality of Victory
32
82
Momentum Score
100
Cannonier
Borralho
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
63%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
42
1
Body
5
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance27
0Clinch1
0Ground22
Cannonier
Borralho
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cannonier
Borralho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
9/20 fights
Cannonier
Borralho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Cannonier
Borralho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cannonier
Borralho
Striking7.5 / 3.0Volume4.0 / 7.8Grappling0.9 / 2.8Wrestling0.6 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure6.1 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
Cannonier
Strike Zones
Borralho
Cannonier
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
42HEAD5BODY3LEGS50 absorbed
Borralho
Attacking
42HEAD5BODY3LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (91% of attacks) — Borralho absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Borralho targets the head (84% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cannonier
RND
Borralho
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Borralho · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W4.5W5.5W6.2W5.3W6.0W5.5W6.9L5.5W2022-042023-042024-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Borralho · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R5
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Jared Cannonier · Caio Borralho
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