UFC 14: Showdown
Birmingham, USA
27 Jul 1997
Lightweight
VS
89%
Fryklund
11%
Chappell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fryklund
Fryklund is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fryklund has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Fryklund
Chappell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
55
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fryklund
Chappell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
2.5
52.7
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Fryklund
Chappell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
—
60%
Strike Accuracy
0%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Fryklund
Chappell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fryklund
Chappell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1 fights
Fryklund
Chappell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Fryklund
Chappell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fryklund
Chappell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
FryklundChappell
Strike Zones
Fryklund
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedChappell
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fryklund targets the head (80% of attacks) — Chappell absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fryklund
RND
Chappell
0/0R00/0
Fryklund · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Fryklund · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Ivan SalaverryRating 1.5Submission
UFC 50: The War Of '04 · 2004-10
W · KO · R2
Rodrigo RuasRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 37.5: As Real As It Gets · 2002-06
L · Sub · R1
Kevin JacksonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
W · Sub · R1
Donnie ChappellRating 5Submission
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
Chappell · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Tony FryklundRating 1.5Submission
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07