METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Featherweight
VS
69%
Amirkhani
31%
Henry
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:15
MA
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
179
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
DH
Danny Henry
"The Hatchet"
124
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Makwan AmirkhaniwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:15
def. Danny Henry · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Amirkhani
Actual result
Amirkhani wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Amirkhani holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Henry has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Amirkhani's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AmirkhaniHenry
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Amirkhani
Henry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Amirkhani
Henry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.2
16.6
47.6
Performance Avg
43.7
46
Quality of Victory
40
56
Momentum Score
49
Amirkhani
Henry
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
5.0
3.3
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Amirkhani
Henry
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
5.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Amirkhani
Henry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Amirkhani
Henry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Amirkhani
Henry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Amirkhani
Henry
Striking2.4 / 1.0Volume3.3 / 5.0Grappling5.3 / 5.2Wrestling3.7 / 3.6Submission5.7 / 5.0Pressure6.5 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Amirkhani
Strike Zones
Henry
Amirkhani
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Henry
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (50% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Henry targets the body (50% of attacks) — Amirkhani absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Amirkhani
RND
Henry
0/0R00/0

Amirkhani · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jack Shore
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan Pearce
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike Grundy
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone Murphy
KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela Kirk
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

Henry · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Makwan Amirkhani
Submission
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Sub · R1
Dan Ige
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Sub · R1
Hakeem Dawodu
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel Teymur
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07

News & Media

Makwan Amirkhani · Danny Henry
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