UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Middleweight
VS
4%
Williams
96%
Imavov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Imavov
Imavov is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 61 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Imavov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Imavov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Williams's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Williams
Imavov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
75"
35
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Imavov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.8
63.8
0.0
Performance Avg
56.4
0
Quality of Victory
39
0
Momentum Score
90
Williams
Imavov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.6
34%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
18
1
Body
8
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance23
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Williams
Imavov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Imavov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/15 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Williams
Imavov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
90
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Williams
Imavov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Williams
Imavov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
WilliamsImavov
Strike Zones
Williams
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedImavov
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (89% of attacks) — Imavov absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Imavov targets the head (62% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Williams
RND
Imavov
0/0R00/0
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Imavov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Williams · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
Imavov · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02