METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Glendale, USA
14 Apr 2018
Flyweight
VS
46%
Reis
54%
Moraga
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John MoragawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Wilson Reis · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moraga
→
Actual result
Moraga wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Reis at 46% vs Moraga at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Reis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moraga has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReisMoraga
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reis
Moraga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
65"
Reach
+66"
41+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reis
Moraga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
18.3
41.5
Performance Avg
47.9
33
Quality of Victory
42
65
Momentum Score
64
Reis
Moraga
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
6.1
6.8
Style: Volume
4.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Reis
Moraga
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reis
Moraga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Reis
Moraga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
64
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Reis
Moraga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reis
Moraga
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
ReisMoraga
Strike Zones
Reis
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedMoraga
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reis targets the head (75% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Moraga targets the head (69% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reis
RND
Moraga
0/0R00/0
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
Moraga · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovKO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01