UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Glendale, USA
14 Apr 2018
Flyweight
VS
46%
Reis
54%
Moraga
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
WR
Wilson Reis
23 – 10
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JM
John Moraga
19 – 7
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moraga

This is a genuine toss-up — Reis at 46% vs Moraga at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moraga has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraga has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Reis
Moraga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
65"
Reach
+66"
41+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reis
Moraga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
18.3
41.5
Performance Avg
47.9
33
Quality of Victory
42
65
Momentum Score
64
Reis
Moraga
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.0
33%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Reis
Moraga
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reis
Moraga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Reis
Moraga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
64
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Reis
Moraga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reis
Moraga
Striking1.1 / 3.6Volume6.8 / 4.1Grappling4.0 / 3.9Wrestling2.8 / 2.7Submission2.9 / 3.8Pressure3.6 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Reis
Strike Zones
Moraga
Reis
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Moraga
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reis targets the head (75% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Moraga targets the head (69% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reis
RND
Moraga
0/0R00/0

Reis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.2L5.5L4.5W2.8L2013-092015-052017-042019-04
WinLossTrend

Moraga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W4.0L4.5W4.8L5.2W5.5W5.5L5.7L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L2012-082014-062016-072018-042018-08
WinLossTrend

Reis · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04

Moraga · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

News & Media

Wilson Reis · John Moraga
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