UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
27 Aug 2011
Middleweight
VS
56%
Palhares
44%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palhares
This is a genuine toss-up — Palhares at 56% vs Miller at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Palhares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Palhares
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+74"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Palhares
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
16.9
54.0
Performance Avg
43.7
46
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
51
Palhares
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
27
5
Body
2
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
29Distance30
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Palhares
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Palhares
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Palhares
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Palhares
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Palhares
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
PalharesMiller
Strike Zones
Palhares
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedMiller
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Palhares targets the head (59% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (90% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Palhares
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Palhares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5Decision
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