METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Yan
45%
Sterling
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsR4 · 4:29
def. Petr Yan · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Yan
→
Actual result
Sterling wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Yan at 55% vs Sterling at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Sterling has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
YanSterling
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Yan
Sterling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+71"
33+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Yan
Sterling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.1
54.2
56.4
Performance Avg
54.2
44
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
71
Yan
Sterling
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
4.7
6.8
Style: Volume
6.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
11
5
Body
10
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
25Distance19
5Clinch3
2Ground2
Yan
Sterling
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yan
Sterling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/25 fights
Chin rating based on
23/31 fights
Yan
Sterling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Yan
Sterling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yan
Sterling
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
YanSterling
Strike Zones
Yan
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedSterling
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yan targets the head (72% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Sterling targets the head (46% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yan
RND
Sterling
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Yan · Last 5
Upcoming
Merab DvalishviliUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongDecision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Sterling · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyKO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08