★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Yan
45%
Sterling
Win Probability
Petr
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
20 – 5
5'7"67" reachSwitch33 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
26 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Yan

This is a genuine toss-up — Yan at 55% vs Sterling at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Yan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sterling has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Yan
Sterling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+71"
33+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Yan
Sterling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.1
54.2
56.4
Performance Avg
54.2
44
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
71
Yan
Sterling
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
57%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
11
5
Body
10
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
25Distance19
5Clinch3
2Ground2
Yan
Sterling
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yan
Sterling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/25 fights
Chin rating based on
23/31 fights
Yan
Sterling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Yan
Sterling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yan
Sterling
Striking4.8 / 2.7Volume6.8 / 6.5Grappling1.6 / 3.2Wrestling1.1 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure4.6 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Yan
Strike Zones
Sterling
Yan
Attacking
23HEAD5BODY4LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD10BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Sterling
Attacking
11HEAD10BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD5BODY4LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Yan targets the head (72% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Sterling targets the head (46% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yan
RND
Sterling
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Yan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.4W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.0W6.1L6.0W6.5L7.0L6.8L5.8W5.6W6.2W5.8W2018-062019-062021-102024-032025-12
WinLossTrend

Sterling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W5.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.3W4.5W5.0W6.5W5.9W6.0W5.2W6.0W3.6L5.0W6.8L5.9W5.5W2014-022017-042019-062023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Yan · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Petr Yan · Aljamain Sterling
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