UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Oleinik
53%
Harris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Harris
This is a genuine toss-up — Oleinik at 47% vs Harris at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Oleinik connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Oleinik
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
80"+
Reach
77"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Oleinik
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
29.6
52.0
Performance Avg
51.0
51
Quality of Victory
58
39
Momentum Score
65
Oleinik
Harris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Oleinik
Harris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oleinik
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Oleinik
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
65
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Oleinik
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
7
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oleinik
Harris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
OleinikHarris
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHarris
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oleinik targets the body (100% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the head (50% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oleinik
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oleinik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05