METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Middleweight
VS
63%
Duncan
37%
Tiuliulin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:24
★ Official Result
Christian Leroy DuncanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:24
def. Denis Tiuliulin · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duncan
→
Actual result
Duncan wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Duncan holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Tiuliulin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tiuliulin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Tiuliulin has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DuncanTiuliulin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
77"
31+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
36.6
59.0
Performance Avg
39.7
45
Quality of Victory
55
72
Momentum Score
20
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
7.5
4.6
Style: Volume
0.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
15
5
Body
4
9
Leg
4
RangeRange
40Distance21
9Clinch2
3Ground0
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
20
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
DuncanTiuliulin
Strike Zones
Duncan
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTiuliulin
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duncan targets the head (73% of attacks) — Tiuliulin absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Tiuliulin targets the head (65% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duncan
RND
Tiuliulin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Duncan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Jared CannonierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marco TulioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
Tiuliulin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sedriques DumasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
JunYong ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Jamie PickettKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09