UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Middleweight
VS
64%
Duncan
36%
Tiuliulin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:24
Christian
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
14 – 2
6'2"79" reachSwitch30 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 65
Denis
Denis Tiuliulin
10 – 10
Knockout Artist4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Duncan

Duncan holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Tiuliulin has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Tiuliulin throws more volume but Duncan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Tiuliulin has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Duncan
Tiuliulin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
77"
30+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
36.6
59.8
Performance Avg
39.7
48
Quality of Victory
55
72
Momentum Score
20
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.6
63%
Strike Accuracy
45%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
15
5
Body
4
9
Leg
4
RangeRange
40Distance21
9Clinch2
3Ground0
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
20
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Duncan
Tiuliulin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duncan
Tiuliulin
Striking8.7 / 10.0Volume3.8 / 0.3Grappling0.7 / 0.0Wrestling0.5 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Duncan
Strike Zones
Tiuliulin
Duncan
Attacking
38HEAD5BODY9LEGS52 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY4LEGS23 absorbed
Tiuliulin
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY4LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD5BODY9LEGS52 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duncan targets the head (73% of attacks) — Tiuliulin absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Tiuliulin targets the head (65% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duncan
RND
Tiuliulin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Duncan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.4W5.5L5.3W5.6W7.1L5.6W5.8W6.6W5.9W2023-032024-032025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Tiuliulin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5L5.2W2.6L3.1L4.2L5.5L2022-032022-092023-022023-082023-112024-08
WinLossTrend

Duncan · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marco TulioRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Eryk AndersRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Andrey PulyaevRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Tiuliulin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sedriques DumasRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
JunYong ParkRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Jamie PickettRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09

News & Media

Christian Leroy Duncan · Denis Tiuliulin
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