UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2021
Middleweight
VS
51%
Muniz
49%
Anders
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Muniz
This is a genuine toss-up — Muniz at 51% vs Anders at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Muniz's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anders has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Muniz
Anders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
75"
36+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Muniz
Anders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
50.9
47.7
Performance Avg
45.4
40
Quality of Victory
41
92
Momentum Score
79
Muniz
Anders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Muniz
Anders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Muniz
Anders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/32 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Muniz
Anders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Muniz
Anders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Muniz
Anders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MunizAnders
Strike Zones
Muniz
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedAnders
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Muniz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Anders targets the body (100% of attacks) — Muniz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Muniz
RND
Anders
0/0R00/0
Muniz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Muniz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

