METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
22 May 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
56%
Xiaonan
44%
Esparza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:58
Yan
Yan Xiaonan
19 – 5
5'5"63" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Carla
Carla Esparza
"Cookie Monster"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'1"
CFR 41
★ Official Result
Carla EsparzawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:58
def. Yan Xiaonan · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Xiaonan
→
Actual result
Esparza wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Xiaonan at 56% vs Esparza at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Xiaonan's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Esparza has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
XiaonanEsparza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Xiaonan
Esparza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
63"
Reach
63"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Xiaonan
Esparza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
40.7
43.0
Performance Avg
45.9
29
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
60
Xiaonan
Esparza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.7
Style: Pressure
3.3
8.4
Style: Volume
7.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
14
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground13
Xiaonan
Esparza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Xiaonan
Esparza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
16/28 fights
Xiaonan
Esparza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Xiaonan
Esparza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Xiaonan
Esparza
Striking2.4 / 2.3Volume8.4 / 7.7Grappling2.1 / 2.7Wrestling1.5 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure2.7 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Xiaonan
Strike Zones
Esparza
Xiaonan
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Esparza
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Esparza targets the head (100% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Xiaonan
RND
Esparza
0/0R00/0

Xiaonan · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Denise Gomes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna Jandiroba
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha Ricci
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang Weili
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica Andrade
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Esparza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tecia Pennington
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Zhang Weili
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose Namajunas
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R2
Yan Xiaonan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Marina Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

News & Media

Yan Xiaonan · Carla Esparza
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