The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Middleweight
VS
3%
Mutapcic
97%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Smith
Smith is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 56 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Striking split: Mutapcic throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smith has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mutapcic
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mutapcic
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
58.3
0.0
Performance Avg
50.7
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
100
Mutapcic
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
33%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
38
1
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance36
1Clinch5
0Ground1
Mutapcic
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mutapcic
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/21 fights
Chin rating based on
25/60 fights
Mutapcic
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Mutapcic
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
77%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mutapcic
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
MutapcicSmith
Strike Zones
Mutapcic
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedSmith
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mutapcic targets the head (62% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (90% of attacks) — Mutapcic absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mutapcic
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mutapcic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Mutapcic · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 3.9KO/TKO
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