METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
39%
Varner
61%
Krause
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 5:00
★ Official Result
James KrausewinsKO/TKOR1 · 5:00
def. Jamie Varner · UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krause
→
Actual result
Krause wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Krause holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Varner has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Varner's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VarnerKrause
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Varner
Krause
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Varner
Krause
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
21.6
41.1
Performance Avg
52.0
46
Quality of Victory
40
33
Momentum Score
97
Varner
Krause
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
6.0
3.3
Style: Volume
4.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
1
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance18
2Clinch1
2Ground3
Varner
Krause
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Varner
Krause
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Varner
Krause
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
97
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Varner
Krause
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Varner
Krause
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
VarnerKrause
Strike Zones
Varner
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedKrause
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Varner targets the head (86% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Krause targets the head (55% of attacks) — Varner absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Varner
RND
Krause
0/0R00/0
Varner · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Drew DoberSubmission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
James KrauseKO/TKO
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
L · KO · R2
Abel TrujilloKO/TKO
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauDecision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Melvin GuillardDecision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
Krause · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesDecision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01