METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
39%
Varner
61%
Krause
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 5:00
★ Official Result
James KrausewinsKO/TKOR1 · 5:00
def. Jamie Varner · UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krause
→
Actual result
Krause wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Krause holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Varner has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Krause has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Varner's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VarnerKrause
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Varner
Krause
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Varner
Krause
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
21.6
41.1
Performance Avg
52.0
46
Quality of Victory
40
33
Momentum Score
97
Varner
Krause
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
2.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
1
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance18
2Clinch1
2Ground3
Varner
Krause
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Varner
Krause
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Varner
Krause
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
97
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Varner
Krause
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Varner
Krause
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
VarnerKrause
Strike Zones
Varner
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedKrause
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Varner targets the head (86% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Krause targets the head (55% of attacks) — Varner absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Varner
RND
Krause
0/0R00/0
Varner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Krause · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Varner · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
L · KO · R2
Abel TrujilloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Melvin GuillardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
Krause · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01