UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
39%
Varner
61%
Krause
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 5:00
JV
Jamie Varner
21 – 11
5'8"71" reachOrthodox41 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
JK
James Krause
"The"
28 – 9
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Krause

Krause holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Varner has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Krause has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Varner's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Varner
Krause
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+73"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Varner
Krause
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
21.6
41.1
Performance Avg
52.0
46
Quality of Victory
40
33
Momentum Score
97
Varner
Krause
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
12
1
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance18
2Clinch1
2Ground3
Varner
Krause
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Varner
Krause
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Varner
Krause
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
97
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Varner
Krause
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Varner
Krause
Striking4.0 / 4.7Volume3.3 / 4.9Grappling3.5 / 2.8Wrestling2.4 / 2.0Submission3.3 / 2.2Pressure5.7 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Varner
Strike Zones
Krause
Varner
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY5LEGS22 absorbed
Krause
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY5LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Varner targets the head (86% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Krause targets the head (55% of attacks) — Varner absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Varner
RND
Krause
0/0R00/0

Varner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.0L5.0W5.5W4.0L4.5W5.5L2.8L1.5L2.7L2006-082012-082014-022014-12
WinLossTrend

Krause · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W2.2L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.7L4.5W2013-062015-022018-012020-10
WinLossTrend

Varner · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
L · KO · R2
Abel TrujilloRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Melvin GuillardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12

Krause · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01

News & Media

Jamie Varner · James Krause
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