UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Orlando, USA
19 Dec 2015
Featherweight
VS
78%
Oliveira
22%
Jury
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:05
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Jury throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jury has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Oliveira
Jury
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Jury
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
17.8
58.6
Performance Avg
51.3
51
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
50
Oliveira
Jury
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
3
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Oliveira
Jury
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
4.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Jury
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/48 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Oliveira
Jury
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Oliveira
Jury
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
17
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Jury
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
OliveiraJury
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedJury
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the body (60% of attacks) — Jury absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Jury targets the head (60% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Jury
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jury · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Jury · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12