UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Auckland, New Zealand
10 Jun 2017
Lightweight
VS
25%
Brown
75%
Pichel
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pichel
Pichel is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Brown throws more volume but Pichel connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pichel has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Pichel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Pichel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
39.5
38.8
Performance Avg
41.3
43
Quality of Victory
30
15
Momentum Score
40
Brown
Pichel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
13
1
Body
4
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance14
3Clinch2
0Ground3
Brown
Pichel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Pichel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/29 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Brown
Pichel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brown
Pichel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Pichel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
BrownPichel
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedPichel
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (76% of attacks) — Pichel absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Pichel targets the head (68% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Pichel
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Pichel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Frank CamachoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Vinc PichelRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon TuckRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Cesar ArzamendiaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Pichel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Ismael BonfimRating 5.9Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mark MadsenRating 5.7Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08