UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Vancouver, Canada
10 Jun 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
49%
Belbita
51%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Diana
Diana Belbita
"The Warrior Princess"
15 – 10
5'7"68" reachOrthodox29 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
MO
Maria Oliveira
"Spider-Girl"
13 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide29 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

This is a genuine toss-up — Belbita at 49% vs Oliveira at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Belbita throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Belbita's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Belbita
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+69"
29
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Belbita
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
22.0
25.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
28
Belbita
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
1.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
21
5
Body
4
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
37Distance28
6Clinch1
0Ground0
Belbita
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Belbita
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Belbita
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
28
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Belbita
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Belbita
Oliveira
Striking0.5 / 0.5Volume8.5 / 8.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Belbita
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Belbita
Attacking
32HEAD5BODY6LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD4BODY4LEGS29 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
21HEAD4BODY4LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD5BODY6LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Belbita targets the head (74% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (72% of attacks) — Belbita absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Belbita
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Belbita · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0106.2L1.5L4.6W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.2L2.2L2019-102021-072023-062024-022025-04
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.2L4.5W5.7L5.5L2021-102022-062022-112023-06
WinLossTrend

Belbita · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Dione BarbosaRating 2.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R1
Molly McCannRating 2.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Maria OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Gloria de PaulaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02

Oliveira · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Gloria de PaulaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10

News & Media

Diana Belbita · Maria Oliveira
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