UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Aug 2013
Women's Bantamweight
VS
97%
Nunes
3%
Gaff
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:08
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nunes
Nunes is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 57 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 66 points.
Striking split: Gaff throws more volume but Nunes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gaff has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nunes
Gaff
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"
Reach
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Gaff
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
1.6
75.2
Performance Avg
0.0
66
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Nunes
Gaff
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch2
9Ground0
Nunes
Gaff
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Gaff
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Nunes
Gaff
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Nunes
Gaff
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Gaff
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NunesGaff
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGaff
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (90% of attacks) — Gaff absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Gaff targets the body (67% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Gaff
0/0R00/0
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Gaff · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Gaff · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Sara McMannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04