UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Ottawa, Canada
4 May 2019
Bantamweight
VS
61%
Gagnon
39%
Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Mitch Gagnon
12 – 5
5'5"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
CS
Cole Smith
"The Cole Train"
7 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'11"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gagnon

Gagnon holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Gagnon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Gagnon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Gagnon
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'11"
65"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gagnon
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
10.9
48.0
Performance Avg
28.3
47
Quality of Victory
25
38
Momentum Score
27
Gagnon
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
27%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Gagnon
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gagnon
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Gagnon
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
27
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gagnon
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gagnon
Smith
Striking1.0 / 0.7Volume3.0 / 8.7Grappling6.6 / 2.4Wrestling4.6 / 1.7Submission7.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Gagnon
Strike Zones
Smith
Gagnon
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Smith
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gagnon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gagnon absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gagnon
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gagnon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.0L5.5L5.5L2012-072013-092014-102016-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.5L2019-052019-092020-09
WinLossTrend

Gagnon · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cole SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Matthew LopezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · Sub · R3
Renan BaraoRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Sub · R1
Roman SalazarRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tim GormanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04

Smith · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Hunter AzureRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Mitch GagnonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

News & Media

Mitch Gagnon · Cole Smith
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