METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Welterweight
VS
58%
Elliott
42%
Parsons
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Oban ElliottwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Preston Parsons · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
→
Actual result
Elliott wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 58% vs Parsons at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Parsons has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElliottParsons
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elliott
Parsons
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
72"+
Reach
71"
28+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Parsons
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
29.0
40.0
Performance Avg
28.3
33
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
50
Elliott
Parsons
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
1.0
6.3
Style: Volume
8.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
5
0
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
21Distance7
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Elliott
Parsons
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elliott
Parsons
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Elliott
Parsons
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Elliott
Parsons
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Parsons
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
ElliottParsons
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedParsons
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (95% of attacks) — Parsons absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Parsons targets the head (63% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Parsons
0/0R00/0
Elliott · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michael OliveiraKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Parsons · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jacobe SmithKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Evan ElderDecision
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