UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Welterweight
VS
60%
Elliott
40%
Parsons
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Oban
Oban Elliott
"The Welsh Gangster"
12 – 4
6'0"72" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Preston
Preston Parsons
"Pressure"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elliott

Elliott holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Parsons has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Parsons throws more volume but Elliott connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Parsons has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Elliott
Parsons
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
72"+
Reach
71"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Parsons
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.9
32.2
44.0
Performance Avg
28.3
33
Quality of Victory
25
61
Momentum Score
50
Elliott
Parsons
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
5
0
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
21Distance7
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Elliott
Parsons
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Parsons
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Elliott
Parsons
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Elliott
Parsons
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elliott
Parsons
Striking4.5 / 0.7Volume6.5 / 8.7Grappling1.6 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Elliott
Strike Zones
Parsons
Elliott
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Parsons
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (95% of attacks) — Parsons absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Parsons targets the head (63% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elliott
RND
Parsons
0/0R00/0

Elliott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5W6.8L4.3L2024-022024-072024-112025-062026-01
WinLossTrend

Parsons · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.4L5.1W5.7L5.0W6.2L3.8L2021-072022-042023-032024-012024-072025-01
WinLossTrend

Elliott · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Val WoodburnRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Parsons · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jacobe SmithRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Evan ElderRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

News & Media

Oban Elliott · Preston Parsons
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