UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jul 2010
Middleweight
VS
50%
Grove
50%
Reljic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grove
This is a genuine toss-up — Grove at 50% vs Reljic at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Grove throws more volume but Reljic connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Grove's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grove
Reljic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
+81"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grove
Reljic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
17.8
53.6
Performance Avg
43.0
53
Quality of Victory
55
52
Momentum Score
36
Grove
Reljic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Grove
Reljic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grove
Reljic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/40 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Grove
Reljic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Grove
Reljic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grove
Reljic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
GroveReljic
Strike Zones
Grove
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedReljic
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grove targets the head (75% of attacks) — Reljic absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Reljic targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grove
RND
Reljic
0/0R00/0
Grove · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Reljic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Grove · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R1
Jake RosholtRating 5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
Reljic · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 5.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Dec · R3
CB DollawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Wilson GouveiaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05