UFC 8: David vs Goliath
San Juan, Puerto Rico
16 Feb 1996
Open Weight
VS
55%
Varelans
45%
Moreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 1 · 10:00
PV
Paul Varelans
"The Polar Bear"
9 – 9
6'8"Orthodox56 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JM
Joe Moreira
2 – 2
Well-Rounded64 yrsSouthpaw5'11"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Varelans

This is a genuine toss-up — Varelans at 55% vs Moreira at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Varelans has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Varelans has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Varelans's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Varelans
Moreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'8"+
Height
5'11"
56+
Age
64
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Varelans
Moreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
14.6
50.6
Performance Avg
36.5
51
Quality of Victory
28
59
Momentum Score
55
Varelans
Moreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
0
Body
2
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance9
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Varelans
Moreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Varelans
Moreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/4 fights
Varelans
Moreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
55
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R2
L · Dec · R1
Varelans
Moreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Varelans
Moreira
Striking6.0 / 1.0Volume3.0 / 9.0Grappling2.6 / 2.4Wrestling1.8 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Varelans
Strike Zones
Moreira
Varelans
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 absorbed
Moreira
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Varelans targets the head (56% of attacks) — Moreira absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Moreira targets the head (42% of attacks) — Varelans absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Varelans
RND
Moreira
0/0R00/0

Varelans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0105.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L4.0W1.5L1995-071995-091995-091996-021996-12
WinLossTrend

Moreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.0L4.2W1996-021997-07
WinLossTrend

Varelans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kimo LeopoldoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '96 · 1996-12
W · Dec · R1
Joe MoreiraRating 4
Decision
UFC 8: David vs Goliath · 1996-02
L · Sub · R1
Dan SevernRating 1.5
Submission
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
L · KO · R1
Marco RuasRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 7: The Brawl in Buffalo · 1995-09
W · Sub · R1
Mark HallRating 5
Submission
UFC 7: The Brawl in Buffalo · 1995-09

Moreira · Last 2

W · Dec · R2
Yuri VaulinRating 4.2
Decision
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
L · Dec · R1
Paul VarelansRating 4
Decision
UFC 8: David vs Goliath · 1996-02

News & Media

Paul Varelans · Joe Moreira
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