METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
36%
Correia
64%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karol RosawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bethe Correia · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rosa
→
Actual result
Rosa wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Correia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Correia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CorreiaRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Correia
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
64"
Reach
+67"
43
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Correia
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
44.5
36.8
Performance Avg
39.6
31
Quality of Victory
25
88
Momentum Score
65
Correia
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
1.9
7.3
Style: Volume
9.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
28
13
Body
10
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
26Distance42
0Clinch4
0Ground1
Correia
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Correia
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Correia
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Correia
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Correia
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
CorreiaRosa
Strike Zones
Correia
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedRosa
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Correia targets the body (50% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (60% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Correia
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaSubmission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Luana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleDecision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12