UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
34%
Correia
66%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BC
Bethe Correia
"Pitbull"
11 – 6
5'5"64" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Karol
Karol Rosa
19 – 7
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosa

Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Correia has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Correia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Correia
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
64"
Reach
+67"
42
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Correia
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
48.8
36.8
Performance Avg
41.7
31
Quality of Victory
25
88
Momentum Score
80
Correia
Rosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
28
13
Body
10
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
26Distance42
0Clinch4
0Ground1
Correia
Rosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Correia
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Correia
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Correia
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Correia
Rosa
Striking2.9 / 1.3Volume7.3 / 9.3Grappling1.9 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.8 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Correia
Strike Zones
Rosa
Correia
Attacking
10HEAD13BODY3LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD10BODY9LEGS47 absorbed
Rosa
Attacking
28HEAD10BODY9LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD13BODY3LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Correia targets the body (50% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (60% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Correia
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0

Correia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W5.2W1.5L6.1L4.5W2.9L4.8L4.5W5.5L6.2L2013-122015-082017-062020-072021-10
WinLossTrend

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L4.6W6.3L4.5W6.5L5.2W2019-082021-102023-042024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Correia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06

Rosa · Last 5

Upcoming
Luana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Bethe Correia · Karol Rosa
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