METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
34%
Correia
66%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karol RosawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bethe Correia · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rosa
→
Actual result
Rosa wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Correia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Correia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CorreiaRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Correia
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
64"
Reach
+67"
43
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Correia
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.0
48.8
36.8
Performance Avg
41.7
31
Quality of Victory
25
88
Momentum Score
80
Correia
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
2.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
28
13
Body
10
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
26Distance42
0Clinch4
0Ground1
Correia
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Correia
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Correia
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Correia
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Correia
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
CorreiaRosa
Strike Zones
Correia
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedRosa
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Correia targets the body (50% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (60% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Correia
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Correia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
Rosa · Last 5
Upcoming
Luana SantosUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12