UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Flyweight
VS
5%
Ross
95%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodrigues
Rodrigues is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Striking split: Ross throws more volume but Rodrigues connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ross's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ross
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
37
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Ross
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
44.4
0.0
Performance Avg
46.0
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
22
Ross
Rodrigues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
56%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance9
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Ross
Rodrigues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ross
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
84
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Ross
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ross
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ross
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
RossRodrigues
Strike Zones
Ross
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ross targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (57% of attacks) — Ross absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ross
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ross · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Rodrigues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ross · Last 3
L · KO · R2
HyunSung ParkRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R1
Jesus AguilarRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Kleydson RodriguesRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Rodrigues · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Sub · R1
Farid BasharatRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Shannon RossRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
CJ VergaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
