UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn
Anaheim, USA
23 Sept 2006
Lightweight
VS
89%
Griffin
11%
Lee
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:50
TG
Tyson Griffin
16 – 8
5'6"68" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
DL
David Lee
12 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Griffin

Griffin is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Griffin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.

Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Lee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Griffin
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
2.1
42.3
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
75
Momentum Score
0
Griffin
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Griffin
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Griffin
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Griffin
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Lee
Striking2.4 / 0.0Volume7.1 / 0.0Grappling2.8 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Griffin
Strike Zones
Lee
Griffin
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L2006-092008-022009-092011-062011-10
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0101.5L2.8L2006-092007-04
WinLossTrend

Griffin · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06

Lee · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Junior AssuncaoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
L · Sub · R1
Tyson GriffinRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09

News & Media

Tyson Griffin · David Lee
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