METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 5
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2006
Welterweight
VS
56%
Fitch
44%
Alves
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:37
★ Official Result
Jon FitchwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:37
def. Thiago Alves · UFC Fight Night 5
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fitch
→
Actual result
Fitch wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fitch at 56% vs Alves at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Alves throws more volume but Fitch connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Alves has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FitchAlves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fitch
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
70"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fitch
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
16.5
52.4
Performance Avg
47.3
32
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
63
Fitch
Alves
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.6
57%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
4Clinch0
19Ground0
Fitch
Alves
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fitch
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
6
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Fitch
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Fitch
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
53%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
FitchAlves
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedAlves
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (96% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6Submission
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L · KO · R2
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