UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Middleweight
VS
55%
Theodorou
45%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ET
Elias Theodorou
"The Spartan"
16 – 3
6'1"75" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw78" reach6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Theodorou

This is a genuine toss-up — Theodorou at 55% vs Ferreira at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Theodorou has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Theodorou
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+78"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Theodorou
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
16.6
52.0
Performance Avg
49.5
38
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
58
Theodorou
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Theodorou
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Theodorou
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Theodorou
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Theodorou
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Theodorou
Ferreira
Striking4.0 / 1.2Volume7.5 / 6.5Grappling1.8 / 4.3Wrestling1.3 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure3.9 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Theodorou
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Theodorou
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Ferreira
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Theodorou
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0

Theodorou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.3W5.8L2014-042015-122017-072018-122019-05
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Theodorou · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

News & Media

Elias Theodorou · Cezar Ferreira
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