METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Middleweight
VS
55%
Theodorou
45%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Elias TheodorouwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cezar Ferreira · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Theodorou
→
Actual result
Theodorou wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Theodorou at 55% vs Ferreira at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ferreira has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TheodorouFerreira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Theodorou
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+78"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Theodorou
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
16.6
52.0
Performance Avg
49.5
38
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
58
Theodorou
Ferreira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
4.1
7.5
Style: Volume
6.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Theodorou
Ferreira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Theodorou
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Theodorou
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Theodorou
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Theodorou
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
TheodorouFerreira
Strike Zones
Theodorou
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Theodorou
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
Theodorou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Ferreira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonSubmission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02