METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou
New Orleans, USA
13 Mar 1998
Lightweight
VS
57%
Miletich
43%
Brennan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 9:02
CB
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Pat MiletichwinsSubmissionR1 · 9:02
def. Chris Brennan · UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miletich
→
Actual result
Miletich wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miletich at 57% vs Brennan at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Miletich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miletich's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MiletichBrennan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miletich
Brennan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
58
Age
+54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miletich
Brennan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.2
18.6
63.7
Performance Avg
45.7
53
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
43
Miletich
Brennan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
0.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
23%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Miletich
Brennan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miletich
Brennan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/36 fights
Chin rating based on
3/34 fights
Miletich
Brennan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Miletich
Brennan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miletich
Brennan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MiletichBrennan
Strike Zones
Miletich
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBrennan
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miletich targets the head (67% of attacks) — Brennan absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Brennan targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miletich absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miletich
RND
Brennan
0/0R00/0
Miletich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Brennan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Miletich · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt LindlandRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03
W · KO · R2
Shonie CarterRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06
L · Sub · R3
Carlos NewtonRating 2.8Submission
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
W · Sub · R2
Kenichi YamamotoRating 5.1Submission
UFC 29: Defense of the Belts · 2000-12
W · Sub · R2
John AlessioRating 5.2Submission
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06
Brennan · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Gil CastilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
L · Sub · R1
Pat MiletichRating 1.5Submission
UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou · 1998-03
W · Sub · R1
Courtney TurnerRating 5Submission
UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou · 1998-03