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UFC 85: Bedlam
London, United Kingdom
7 Jun 2008
Middleweight
VS
49%
Leites
51%
Marquardt
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
TL
Thales Leites
28 – 9
6'1"78" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
Well-Rounded3-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 17
β˜… Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Nate Marquardt Β· UFC 85: Bedlam

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marquardt
β†’
Actual result
Leites wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Leites at 49% vs Marquardt at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Marquardt has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LeitesMarquardt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Leites
Marquardt
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
74"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Marquardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
16.8
48.8
Performance Avg
48.6
40
Quality of Victory
46
35
Momentum Score
59
Leites
Marquardt
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
0
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground6
Leites
Marquardt
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leites
Marquardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Leites
Marquardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
35
59
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
Leites
Marquardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
69%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leites
Marquardt
Striking2.8 / 5.7Volume4.9 / 3.5Grappling4.2 / 2.6Wrestling2.9 / 1.8Submission3.9 / 2.3Pressure5.6 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Leites
Strike Zones
Marquardt
Leites
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Marquardt
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Marquardt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Marquardt targets the head (67% of attacks) β€” Leites absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Leites
RND
Marquardt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Leites Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.7W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.9L4.5W2006-112009-042015-012017-102018-09
WinLossTrend

Marquardt Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Leites Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders Β· 2018-09
L Β· KO Β· R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington Β· 2018-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee Β· 2017-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov Β· 2017-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira Β· 2016-11

Marquardt Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis Β· 2017-11
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway Β· 2017-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena Β· 2017-01
W Β· KO Β· R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson Β· 2016-10
L Β· KO Β· R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic Β· 2016-05

News & Media

Thales Leites Β· Nate Marquardt
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