UFC 85: Bedlam
London, United Kingdom
7 Jun 2008
Middleweight
VS
49%
Leites
51%
Marquardt
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marquardt
This is a genuine toss-up — Leites at 49% vs Marquardt at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marquardt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Leites
Marquardt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
74"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Marquardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
16.8
48.8
Performance Avg
48.6
40
Quality of Victory
46
35
Momentum Score
59
Leites
Marquardt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
0
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground6
Leites
Marquardt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leites
Marquardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
25/54 fights
Leites
Marquardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Leites
Marquardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
69%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Marquardt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
LeitesMarquardt
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMarquardt
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Marquardt targets the head (67% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Marquardt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Marquardt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Marquardt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05