UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Garbrandt
48%
Barcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cody
Cody Garbrandt
"No Love"
15 – 7
5'8"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker
CFR 57
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
22 – 5
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garbrandt

This is a genuine toss-up — Garbrandt at 52% vs Barcelos at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Garbrandt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Barcelos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Garbrandt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Garbrandt
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
65"
Reach
+67"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garbrandt
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.6
51.6
51.6
Performance Avg
49.8
47
Quality of Victory
34
97
Momentum Score
63
Garbrandt
Barcelos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
12
2
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance16
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Garbrandt
Barcelos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garbrandt
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Garbrandt
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
63
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Garbrandt
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
36%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garbrandt
Barcelos
Striking7.2 / 3.3Volume4.4 / 6.6Grappling1.0 / 3.0Wrestling0.7 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 1.8Pressure6.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Garbrandt
Strike Zones
Barcelos
Garbrandt
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY4LEGS16 absorbed
Barcelos
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY4LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (75% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garbrandt
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0

Garbrandt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.2L1.6L2.0L5.2W6.7L2.4L4.5W5.3W3.8L6.3L5.3W2015-012016-122021-052025-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Barcelos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5W5.7W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.5L6.4L4.5W2.8L6.2L6.3W6.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W2018-072020-112023-012025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Garbrandt · Last 5

Upcoming
Adrian Yanez
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Barcelos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Cody Garbrandt · Raoni Barcelos
← Back to fights