Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

Atlanta, USA

14 Jun 2025

Bantamweight

51%

Garbrandt

49%

Barcelos

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Cody Garbrandt

"No Love"

15 – 7

5'8"65" reachOrthodox35 yrsStriker

CFR 53

Raoni Barcelos

22 – 5

Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"

CFR 52

★ Official Result

Raoni BarceloswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Cody Garbrandt · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Garbrandt

→

Actual result

Barcelos wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Garbrandt at 51% vs Barcelos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Garbrandt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Garbrandt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

GarbrandtBarcelos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Garbrandt

Barcelos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"+

Height

5'7"

65"

Reach

+67"

35+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Garbrandt

Barcelos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

53.3

51.6

50.3

Performance Avg

49.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Garbrandt

Barcelos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.1

/ 10

3.3

/ 10

5.9

Style: Pressure

4.8

4.3

Style: Volume

6.6

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

10Distance16

2Clinch0

0Ground0

Garbrandt

Barcelos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.0

/ 10

3.0

/ 10

0.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.1

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Garbrandt

Barcelos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

3 consec. KOs

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.2 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

7 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

18/22 fights

Chin rating based on

16/27 fights

Garbrandt

Barcelos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

5-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

W · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

Garbrandt

Barcelos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

60%

36%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garbrandt

Barcelos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.3

1.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.0

0.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.1

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.8

5.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.8

4.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.6

Garbrandt

Strike Zones

Barcelos

Garbrandt

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

16 absorbed

Barcelos

Attacking

16 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Garbrandt targets the head (75% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Barcelos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garbrandt

RND

Barcelos

0/0R00/0

Garbrandt · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Adrian Yanez

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Xiao Long

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

L · Dec · R3

Raoni Barcelos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

L · Sub · R2

Deiveson Figueiredo

Submission

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

W · KO · R1

Brian Kelleher

KO/TKO

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Barcelos · Last 5

Upcoming

Raul Rosas Jr.

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Montel Jackson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

W · Dec · R3

Ricky Simon

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Cody Garbrandt

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

W · Dec · R3

Payton Talbott

Decision

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Cody Garbrandt · Raoni Barcelos

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