UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Austin, USA
22 Nov 2014
Heavyweight
VS
91%
Magomedov
9%
Copeland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magomedov
Magomedov is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Magomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Magomedov
Copeland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
78"
Reach
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Copeland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
2.1
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Magomedov
Copeland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
29%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
10
Body
4
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance1
10Clinch5
0Ground0
Magomedov
Copeland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magomedov
Copeland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Magomedov
Copeland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Magomedov
Copeland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magomedov
Copeland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MagomedovCopeland
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCopeland
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the body (50% of attacks) — Copeland absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Copeland targets the body (67% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magomedov
RND
Copeland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Copeland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Magomedov · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Shawn JordanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Josh CopelandRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Viktor PestaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
Copeland · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Jared RosholtRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Dec · R3
Ruslan MagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11