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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
50%
Fitch
50%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
JF
Jon Fitch
30 – 7
6'0"74" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'1"
CFR 21
β˜… Official Result
Demian MaiawinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Jon Fitch Β· UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fitch
β†’
Actual result
Maia wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Fitch at 50% vs Maia at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Maia has a chin rating of 38 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FitchMaia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Fitch
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"+
Reach
72"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fitch
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
20.6
52.4
Performance Avg
50.8
32
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
100
Fitch
Maia
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
5.8
7.4
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Fitch
Maia
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
11
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fitch
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Fitch
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
Upcoming
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Fitch
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
11
10
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fitch
Maia
Striking2.4 / 1.8Volume7.4 / 5.0Grappling3.4 / 5.1Wrestling2.4 / 3.6Submission2.1 / 5.0Pressure4.5 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Fitch
Strike Zones
Maia
Fitch
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Maia
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Maia absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Fitch
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0

Fitch Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Demian Maia
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar Β· 2013-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Erick Silva
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar Β· 2012-10
L Β· KO Β· R1
Johny Hendricks
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem Β· 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ Penn
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch Β· 2011-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Thiago Alves
Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen Β· 2010-08

Maia Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal Muhammad
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Β· 2021-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira Β· 2020-03
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Ben Askren
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren Β· 2019-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Anthony Rocco Martin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Lyman Good
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02

News & Media

Jon Fitch Β· Demian Maia
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