METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
39%
Fitch
61%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jon Fitch · UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Fitch has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FitchMaia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fitch
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"+
Reach
72"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fitch
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
32.4
52.4
Performance Avg
50.8
32
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
100
Fitch
Maia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Fitch
Maia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.1
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fitch
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Fitch
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Fitch
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
11
10
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Maia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
FitchMaia
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMaia
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
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L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R1
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