METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Rothwell
59%
Tybura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Marcin TyburawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ben Rothwell · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tybura
→
Actual result
Tybura wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rothwell at 41% vs Tybura at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rothwell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Rothwell's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RothwellTybura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rothwell
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rothwell
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.0
39.0
49.7
Performance Avg
44.3
48
Quality of Victory
37
45
Momentum Score
43
Rothwell
Tybura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
4.2
2.8
Style: Volume
5.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
19
4
Body
3
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance23
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Rothwell
Tybura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rothwell
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/53 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Rothwell
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Rothwell
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
36%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rothwell
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
RothwellTybura
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTybura
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rothwell targets the head (46% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (76% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rothwell
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
Rothwell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
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W · R2
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