UFC 79: Nemesis
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2007
Lightweight
VS
46%
Clementi
54%
Guillard
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:40
RC
Rich Clementi
"No Love"
45 – 23
5'9"72" reachSouthpaw50 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
MG
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32 – 18
Striker43 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guillard

This is a genuine toss-up — Clementi at 46% vs Guillard at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Guillard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Clementi's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guillard has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Clementi
Guillard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
50
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Clementi
Guillard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
17.7
44.4
Performance Avg
49.7
41
Quality of Victory
45
26
Momentum Score
73
Clementi
Guillard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Clementi
Guillard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Clementi
Guillard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
2
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
6
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/68 fights
Chin rating based on
22/50 fights
Clementi
Guillard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
73
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Clementi
Guillard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Clementi
Guillard
Striking1.0 / 7.0Volume4.2 / 3.8Grappling5.8 / 0.8Wrestling4.0 / 0.6Submission6.0 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Clementi
Strike Zones
Guillard
Clementi
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY4LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Guillard
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY4LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Clementi targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Guillard targets the head (100% of attacks) — Clementi absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Clementi
RND
Guillard
0/0R00/0

Clementi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.0L2.8L5.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L2003-022007-042008-042009-02
WinLossTrend

Guillard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L1.9L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W5.6L2005-112008-072011-012012-122014-03
WinLossTrend

Clementi · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Gleison TibauRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
W · Dec · R3
Terry EtimRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 5
Submission
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

News & Media

Rich Clementi · Melvin Guillard
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