UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
Sacramento, USA
30 Aug 2014
Lightweight
VS
21%
Nijem
79%
Ferreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ferreira
Ferreira is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ferreira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nijem's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ferreira has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nijem
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
74"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nijem
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
55.1
43.4
Performance Avg
50.7
39
Quality of Victory
45
51
Momentum Score
87
Nijem
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
11
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground7
Nijem
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nijem
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Nijem
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
87
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Nijem
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nijem
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
NijemFerreira
Strike Zones
Nijem
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nijem targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nijem absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nijem
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nijem · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Ferreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Nijem · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andrew HolbrookRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
James VickRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
Ferreira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
