UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jun 2023
Middleweight
VS
48%
Vettori
52%
Cannonier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
19 – 10
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw32 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
Striker42 yrsSwitch77" reach5'11"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cannonier

This is a genuine toss-up — Vettori at 48% vs Cannonier at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cannonier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Vettori throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cannonier has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Vettori
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
+77"
32+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Vettori
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.2
54.3
40.0
Performance Avg
49.3
31
Quality of Victory
46
84
Momentum Score
82
Vettori
Cannonier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
39
3
Body
5
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
22Distance36
1Clinch6
0Ground7
Vettori
Cannonier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vettori
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
22
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Vettori
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
82
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Vettori
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
64%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vettori
Cannonier
Striking1.1 / 7.5Volume7.3 / 4.0Grappling3.6 / 0.9Wrestling2.5 / 0.6Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Vettori
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Vettori
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY4LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD5BODY5LEGS49 absorbed
Cannonier
Attacking
39HEAD5BODY5LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY4LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vettori targets the head (70% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (80% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vettori
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0

Vettori · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5L4.5W6.9L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.4W5.1W6.9L5.5W6.4L5.9W6.5L6.9L6.8L7.1L2016-082019-102021-102025-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Marvin Vettori · Jared Cannonier
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