UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Flyweight
VS
86%
Gordon
14%
Bondar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gordon
Gordon is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gordon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Striking split: Bondar throws more volume but Gordon connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bondar has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gordon
Bondar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
69"
36
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gordon
Bondar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.5
4.6
36.9
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
10
Momentum Score
0
Gordon
Bondar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gordon
Bondar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gordon
Bondar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Gordon
Bondar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Gordon
Bondar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Bondar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GordonBondar
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBondar
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bondar absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bondar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Bondar
0/0R00/0
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Bondar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jimmy FlickRating 3.2Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Jake HadleyRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Denys BondarRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Francisco FigueiredoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Bondar · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Ronaldo RodriguezRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Carlos HernandezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02