METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Sterling
45%
Munhoz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Pedro Munhoz · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sterling
→
Actual result
Sterling wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 55% vs Munhoz at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SterlingMunhoz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sterling
Munhoz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
65"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sterling
Munhoz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
44.0
54.2
Performance Avg
46.2
38
Quality of Victory
44
71
Momentum Score
43
Sterling
Munhoz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.7
6.5
Style: Volume
4.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
50
Head
15
9
Body
7
5
Leg
15
RangeRange
63Distance37
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Sterling
Munhoz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sterling
Munhoz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
22/30 fights
Sterling
Munhoz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Sterling
Munhoz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
3
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sterling
Munhoz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
SterlingMunhoz
Strike Zones
Sterling
Attacking
64 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedMunhoz
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
64 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (78% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Munhoz targets the head (41% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 41% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sterling
RND
Munhoz
0/0R00/0
Sterling · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyKO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Munhoz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsDecision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraDecision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Upcoming
Sean O'MalleyUFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07