METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Rozenstruik
45%
Daukaus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:23
Jairzinho
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15 – 6
6'2"78" reachOrthodox38 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 51
CD
Chris Daukaus
12 – 7
Knockout Artist4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 42
★ Official Result
Jairzinho RozenstruikwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:23
def. Chris Daukaus · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rozenstruik
→
Actual result
Rozenstruik wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rozenstruik at 55% vs Daukaus at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Rozenstruik's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Daukaus has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RozenstruikDaukaus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rozenstruik
Daukaus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"+
Reach
76"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rozenstruik
Daukaus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
41.9
56.7
Performance Avg
55.2
54
Quality of Victory
59
56
Momentum Score
59
Rozenstruik
Daukaus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
8.5
2.1
Style: Volume
1.0
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Rozenstruik
Daukaus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Rozenstruik
Daukaus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
12
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
8/19 fights
Rozenstruik
Daukaus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Rozenstruik
Daukaus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rozenstruik
Daukaus
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume2.1 / 1.0Grappling0.3 / 0.0Wrestling0.2 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Rozenstruik
Strike Zones
Daukaus
Rozenstruik
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Daukaus
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (100% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Daukaus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rozenstruik
RND
Daukaus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergei Pavlovich
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai Tuivasa
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil Gaziev
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton Almeida
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris Daukaus
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

Daukaus · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Khalil Rountree Jr.
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Curtis Blaydes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · KO · R1
Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Shamil Abdurakhimov
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09

News & Media

Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Chris Daukaus
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