UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
Winnipeg, Canada
15 Jun 2013
Welterweight
VS
45%
Pierson
55%
Robertson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
This is a genuine toss-up — Pierson at 45% vs Robertson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Pierson throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Pierson
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
74"
50
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Pierson
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
19.3
41.7
Performance Avg
46.7
25
Quality of Victory
48
65
Momentum Score
69
Pierson
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
34%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
19
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance13
0Clinch4
0Ground4
Pierson
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pierson
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/20 fights
Pierson
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
69
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Pierson
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pierson
Robertson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
PiersonRobertson
Strike Zones
Pierson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedRobertson
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pierson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Pierson absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pierson
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0
Pierson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pierson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 4.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Jake HechtRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Robertson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Sultan AlievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Thiago PerpetuoRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03