UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Bantamweight
VS
39%
Lopez
61%
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GL
Gustavo Lopez
12 – 6
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 30
Alatengheili
Alatengheili
"The Mongolian Knight"
17 – 10
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'5"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge:

holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Lopez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lopez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Lopez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lopez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
66"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lopez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.7
46.2
45.7
Performance Avg
44.2
54
Quality of Victory
32
52
Momentum Score
49
Lopez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
31%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
6
3
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance9
2Clinch1
7Ground0
Lopez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lopez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Lopez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
49
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Lopez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lopez
Striking0.7 / 3.3Volume0.7 / 7.7Grappling8.0 / 1.9Wrestling5.6 / 1.3Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Lopez
Strike Zones
Lopez
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lopez targets the head (83% of attacks) — absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯 targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lopez
RND
0/0R00/0

Lopez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0106.8L5.0W5.4L2020-062020-112021-03
WinLossTrend

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.9W6.0L5.0W6.5L2019-082020-102022-092024-052025-04
WinLossTrend

Lopez · Last 4

Upcoming
Alatengheili
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · KO · R3
Adrian YanezRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Anthony BirchakRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06

· Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Kleydson RodriguesRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin CroomRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04

News & Media

Gustavo Lopez · Alatengheili
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