UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
62%
Chiesa
38%
Trinaldo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chiesa
Chiesa holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Trinaldo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trinaldo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
31.7
53.3
Performance Avg
48.6
43
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
100
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
26/37 fights
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
9
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
ChiesaTrinaldo
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTrinaldo
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Trinaldo
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7Submission
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Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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