METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Lightweight
VS
62%
Chiesa
38%
Trinaldo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francisco Trinaldo · UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Chiesa holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Trinaldo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaTrinaldo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
31.7
53.3
Performance Avg
48.6
43
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
100
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
4.4
4.6
Style: Volume
6.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
9
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
26/37 fights
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
9
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Trinaldo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
ChiesaTrinaldo
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTrinaldo
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Trinaldo
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
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Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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