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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Stone
47%
Pague
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KS
Ken Stone
114
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
DP
Dustin Pague
"The Disciple"
1211
Submission Hunter4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Ken StonewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dustin Pague · UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stone
Actual result
Stone wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stone at 53% vs Pague at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pague has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Stone's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pague has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
StonePague
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Stone
Pague
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Stone
Pague
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.3
14.6
43.7
Performance Avg
39.1
40
Quality of Victory
54
53
Momentum Score
20
Stone
Pague
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
7.5
5.0
Style: Volume
0.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
2
Body
3
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance6
8Clinch1
0Ground0
Stone
Pague
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stone
Pague
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
4/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Stone
Pague
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
20
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Stone
Pague
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stone
Pague
Striking1.0 / 0.3Volume5.0 / 0.3Grappling5.2 / 8.0Wrestling3.6 / 5.6Submission5.0 / 10.0Pressure5.0 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Stone
Strike Zones
Pague
Stone
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY7LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Pague
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY7LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stone targets the head (47% of attacks) — Pague absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Pague targets the body (43% of attacks) — Stone absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stone
RND
Pague
0/0R00/0

Stone · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Erik Perez
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Dustin Pague
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Donny Walker
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
Scott Jorgensen
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06

Pague · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Kyoji Horiguchi
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · Dec · R3
Yves Jabouin
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · Dec · R3
Chico Camus
Decision
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Ken Stone
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jared Papazian
Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06

News & Media

Ken Stone · Dustin Pague
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