METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Stone
47%
Pague
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ken StonewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dustin Pague · UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stone
→
Actual result
Stone wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Stone at 53% vs Pague at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pague has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Stone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stone's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pague has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StonePague
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stone
Pague
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Stone
Pague
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.3
14.6
43.7
Performance Avg
39.1
40
Quality of Victory
54
53
Momentum Score
20
Stone
Pague
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
2
Body
3
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance6
8Clinch1
0Ground0
Stone
Pague
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stone
Pague
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Stone
Pague
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
20
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Stone
Pague
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stone
Pague
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
StonePague
Strike Zones
Stone
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPague
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stone targets the head (47% of attacks) — Pague absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Pague targets the body (43% of attacks) — Stone absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stone
RND
Pague
0/0R00/0
Stone · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Pague · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Stone · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Erik PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Dustin PagueRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Donny WalkerRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
Scott JorgensenRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
Pague · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · Dec · R3
Chico CamusRating 5.5Decision
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Ken StoneRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jared PapazianRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06