UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Welterweight
VS
65%
Diaz
35%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:02
ND
Nate Diaz
22 – 13
6'0"76" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 35
MD
Marcus Davis
"The Irish Hand Grenade"
22 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide52 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Diaz

Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Davis has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Davis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Diaz
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
70"
41+
Age
52
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Diaz
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
18.7
53.4
Performance Avg
52.8
50
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
56
Diaz
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
4
4
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
25Distance8
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Diaz
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Diaz
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diaz
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
10
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diaz
Davis
Striking2.4 / 4.5Volume3.2 / 3.0Grappling5.6 / 4.1Wrestling3.9 / 2.9Submission6.3 / 4.4Pressure7.0 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Diaz
Strike Zones
Davis
Diaz
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Davis
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (82% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diaz
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Diaz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W6.0L5.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.7L4.6W7.1W7.5L4.5W4.8L6.6L5.9W2007-062009-092011-122016-032022-09
WinLossTrend

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.8L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L4.5L2005-112007-062008-102010-052011-01
WinLossTrend

Diaz · Last 5

W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08

Davis · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4
Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06

News & Media

Nate Diaz · Marcus Davis
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