METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Welterweight
VS
65%
Diaz
35%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:02
MD
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Nate DiazwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:02
def. Marcus Davis · UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Davis has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Davis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
70"
41+
Age
52
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Diaz
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
18.7
53.4
Performance Avg
52.8
50
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
56
Diaz
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
4
4
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
25Distance8
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Diaz
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Diaz
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diaz
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
10
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
DiazDavis
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedDavis
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (82% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06