METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Welterweight
VS
65%
Diaz
35%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:02
MD
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Nate DiazwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:02
def. Marcus Davis · UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Davis has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Davis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
70"
41+
Age
53
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Diaz
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
18.7
53.4
Performance Avg
52.8
50
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
56
Diaz
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
7.2
3.2
Style: Volume
3.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
4
4
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
25Distance8
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Diaz
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
6.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
10
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Diaz
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diaz
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
10
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
DiazDavis
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedDavis
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (82% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorDecision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensKO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazSubmission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletKO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyDecision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06