UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
18 May 2024
Featherweight
VS
41%
Barboza
59%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Murphy
This is a genuine toss-up — Barboza at 41% vs Murphy at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Barboza throws more volume but Murphy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barboza
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
65.5
46.3
Performance Avg
57.7
40
Quality of Victory
36
60
Momentum Score
100
Barboza
Murphy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
9 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
28
2
Body
4
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
11Distance35
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Barboza
Murphy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Barboza
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Barboza
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
9
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barboza
Murphy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
BarbozaMurphy
Strike Zones
Barboza
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedMurphy
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (64% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (74% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barboza
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0
Barboza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Aaron PicoRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

