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UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
18 May 2024
Featherweight
VS
41%
Barboza
59%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 Β· 5:00
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Lerone
Lerone Murphy
"The Miracle"
17 – 1
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'9"
CFR 66
β˜… Official Result
Lerone MurphywinsDecisionR5 Β· 5:00
def. Edson Barboza Β· UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
β†’
Actual result
Murphy wins
Decision Β· R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Barboza at 41% vs Murphy at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Barboza throws more volume but Murphy connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaMurphy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Barboza
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
65.5
46.3
Performance Avg
57.7
40
Quality of Victory
36
60
Momentum Score
100
Barboza
Murphy
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
9 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
28
2
Body
4
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
11Distance35
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Barboza
Murphy
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Barboza
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
60
100
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Barboza
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
9
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Murphy
Striking6.1 / 5.1Volume5.1 / 7.1Grappling1.2 / 1.6Wrestling0.8 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Barboza
Strike Zones
Murphy
Barboza
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD4BODY6LEGS38 absorbed
Murphy
Attacking
28HEAD4BODY6LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (64% of attacks) β€” Murphy absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (74% of attacks) β€” Barboza absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0

Barboza Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Murphy Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.1W4.7W5.3W5.2W4.8W5.0W5.2W4.6W5.1W6.8L2020-072023-032024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Barboza Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Β· 2025-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy Β· 2024-05
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza Β· 2023-10
W Β· KO Β· R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Β· 2023-04

Murphy Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R5
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Β· 2026-03
W Β· KO Β· R1
Aaron PicoRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy Β· 2025-04
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway Β· 2024-10
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy Β· 2024-05

News & Media

Edson Barboza Β· Lerone Murphy
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