The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale
Las Vegas, USA
9 Apr 2005
Welterweight
VS
90%
Karalexis
10%
Rafferty
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:40
AK
Alex Karalexis
"The Assassin"
10 – 6
5'8"66" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 19
JR
Josh Rafferty
9 – 8
Well-Rounded45 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Karalexis

Karalexis is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Karalexis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Striking split: Karalexis throws more volume but Rafferty connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Karalexis
Rafferty
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
66"
Reach
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Karalexis
Rafferty
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
2.2
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
Karalexis
Rafferty
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.4
32%
Strike Accuracy
33%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Karalexis
Rafferty
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Karalexis
Rafferty
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
1/17 fights
Karalexis
Rafferty
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Karalexis
Rafferty
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Karalexis
Rafferty
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume0.7 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Karalexis
Strike Zones
Rafferty
Karalexis
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Rafferty
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Karalexis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rafferty absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rafferty targets the body (100% of attacks) — Karalexis absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Karalexis
RND
Rafferty
0/0R00/0

Karalexis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W4.8L4.0L2005-042005-082006-01
WinLossTrend

Karalexis · Last 3

L · Sub · R3
Jason Von FlueRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night 3 · 2006-01
L · R2
Kenny FlorianRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · KO · R1
Josh RaffertyRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04

Rafferty · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Alex KaralexisRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04

News & Media

Alex Karalexis · Josh Rafferty
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