UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Hollywood, USA
25 Jan 2007
Lightweight
VS
49%
Franca
51%
Fisher
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fisher
This is a genuine toss-up — Franca at 49% vs Fisher at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Fisher throws more volume but Franca connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fisher has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Franca
Fisher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
71"+
Reach
68"
51
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Franca
Fisher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
17.7
46.8
Performance Avg
43.8
42
Quality of Victory
38
43
Momentum Score
89
Franca
Fisher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
6
2
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance10
5Clinch1
2Ground1
Franca
Fisher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Franca
Fisher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
17/33 fights
Franca
Fisher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
89
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Franca
Fisher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Franca
Fisher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
FrancaFisher
Strike Zones
Franca
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedFisher
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Franca targets the head (89% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Fisher targets the head (50% of attacks) — Franca absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Franca
RND
Fisher
0/0R00/0
Franca · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Fisher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Franca · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tyson GriffinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Marcus AurelioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 5.5Decision
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean SherkRating 5.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
Fisher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago TavaresRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06