UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine
Halifax, Canada
4 Oct 2014
Flyweight
VS
58%
Holohan
42%
Kelades
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PH
Paddy Holohan
"The Hooligan"
12 – 2
5'10"69" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
CK
Chris Kelades
"The Greek Assassin"
9 – 3
Well-Rounded45 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holohan

This is a genuine toss-up — Holohan at 58% vs Kelades at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Holohan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Holohan
Kelades
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holohan
Kelades
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
13.1
44.8
Performance Avg
35.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
74
Momentum Score
44
Holohan
Kelades
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
3
Body
4
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch0
3Ground8
Holohan
Kelades
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holohan
Kelades
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Holohan
Kelades
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
44
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Holohan
Kelades
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holohan
Kelades
Striking1.2 / 1.0Volume6.5 / 9.0Grappling4.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.0 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Holohan
Strike Zones
Kelades
Holohan
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Kelades
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holohan targets the head (55% of attacks) — Kelades absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Kelades targets the head (54% of attacks) — Holohan absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holohan
RND
Kelades
0/0R00/0

Holohan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L2014-072014-102015-012015-072015-10
WinLossTrend

Kelades · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.0L4.5W5.5L2014-102015-022015-082016-04
WinLossTrend

Holohan · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Shane HowellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris KeladesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Sub · R1
Josh SampoRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07

Kelades · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Sub · R3
Ray BorgRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

News & Media

Paddy Holohan · Chris Kelades
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