UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Glendale, USA
14 Apr 2018
Welterweight
VS
97%
Salikhov
3%
Rainey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Salikhov
Salikhov is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Salikhov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Rainey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Salikhov's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rainey has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Salikhov
Rainey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+77"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Salikhov
Rainey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
1.6
51.4
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
83
Momentum Score
0
Salikhov
Rainey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
5
Body
2
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance6
0Clinch2
3Ground0
Salikhov
Rainey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Salikhov
Rainey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Salikhov
Rainey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Salikhov
Rainey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Salikhov
Rainey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SalikhovRainey
Strike Zones
Salikhov
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedRainey
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Salikhov targets the head (47% of attacks) — Rainey absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Rainey targets the head (38% of attacks) — Salikhov absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Salikhov
RND
Rainey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Salikhov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rainey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Salikhov · Last 5
Upcoming
Jake MatthewsUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Song KenanRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Rainey · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · 2018-11
L · KO · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04