UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
38%
Villante
62%
Latifi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Latifi
Latifi holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Villante has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Villante throws more volume but Latifi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Latifi has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Villante
Latifi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
73"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Latifi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
32.6
40.8
Performance Avg
48.4
42
Quality of Victory
43
33
Momentum Score
33
Villante
Latifi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
8
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Villante
Latifi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Latifi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Villante
Latifi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
33
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Villante
Latifi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
56%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Latifi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
VillanteLatifi
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedLatifi
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (88% of attacks) — Latifi absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Latifi targets the head (80% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Latifi
0/0R00/0
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Latifi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Latifi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08